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Think gas prices are OK now? Guess again:
By: Gary Gallon
Conventional oil depletion & global climate policy
As conventional sources of oil run out, there will be a blip of excessive consumption, as humans try to demonstrate that the oil can last forever. There is now an informative and data-rich downloadable colour graphic image available from The Global Commons Institute.
It shows a history all country fossil fuel production and consumption 800 to 2000. The consumption data comes from CDIAC and the production data comes from industry sources; all is expressed in gigatonnes carbon content. It provides a scenario of all country fossil fuel production and consumption 2000 to 2200. The consumption data is generated from GCI's CCOptions model expressed in gigatonnes carbon content and the production data is as follows. The 'scenario' projects a global carbon consumption/production contraction budget with an integral consistent with IPCC's stabilisation of atmospheric CO2 concentration at 450 ppmv (CO2 only) by around 2100.
For more information, contact Aubrey Meyer, Global Commons Institute (GCI), 42 Windsor Road, London NW2 5DS, UK, Ph. 0181 451 0778, Fax 0181 830 2366, e-mail aubrey@gci.org.uk, website www.gci.org.uk.
Originally published in THE GALLON ENVIRONMENT LETTER, 506 Victoria Ave., Montreal, Quebec , H3Y 2R5 - Ph. (514) 369-0230, Fax (514) 369-3282, e-mail cibe@web.net
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